Expected Goals (example)

fbref.com is a great site for expected goals.

1) You can sort teams by their expected goals value (xG)

We choose the game: Coszenza vs. Feralpi Salo (Serie B). You can see that Cosenza has xG value of 13,6, the sixth highest value. And they score 14 goals (GF) which is very accurate. Feralpi Salo has xG value of 8,00 and they scored 5 goals. They have the worst xG value and scored less goals than exptected.

 

Expected Goals (example)

 

2) We sort by expected goals conceded or allowed (xGA). You can see that Feralpi Salo has a value of 16,5 but they received 22 goals. They have the worst defence but also the receive more goals than they should.

Expected Goals (example)

 

3) You can also sort it by Home/Away. Coszenza has the second lowest xGA value with 3,6 at home (but they received 6 goals). Feralpi Salo has a xG value of 3,9 away. Despite that Cosenza received more goals at home than they should, for me all stats indicate that Cosenza could hold the 0 against Feralpi Salo. At home Cosenza scored easier than they should (8,4 xG versus 10 goals)

My bet: Cosenza wins the game (1,84 at pinnacle) (maybe wins the game to nil)

 

Expected Goals (example)

Expected Goals (example)

 

Expected Goals (example)

 

Accumulator Generator

Profit from bookmaker accumulator offers, if one of your accumulator bets lose. You can make a sure profit of 5, 10, 15 € per bet. But you can also lose two, three, four etc. bets within your accumulator, it doesn’t matter, you always make a profit. 

How does it work?

Watch this video and see an example.

 

 

Best value is for UK citizens because there are a lot of bookmakers that only allow UK citizens to open an account. But there are a lot of other bookmakers to use, for example: WilliamHill, Ladbrokes, Betvictor, Dafabet, Betway, PaddyPower, 10bet etc.

Bookies also love it when you play accumulator bets, so they won’t restrict you so fast.

 

You can get a 14 days trial for only 1 GBP here.

 

 

 

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

Which Premier League team covers most of their asian handicap lines? Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester Udt.? No, it’s Burnley. They won 19,5 of their asian handicaps. Manchester City and Manchester Utd. only 10,5. That are the worst numbers in the PL. 

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

And which one in Spain? Barcelona, Real Madrid? It’s Espanyol, second place Villarreal, third place Alaves.

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

Or which team in italy gets the most yellow cards? AC Milan with an average of 5,67 per game.

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

I want to show you one of the greatest football statistic sites, where you can find such statistics and many more. Click here

 

What are the features of the site?

 

  • Different tables for Asian Handicap, Corners, Cards, Referee, Shots etc.

 

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

 

 

  • Last matches (sorted by home and away; up to more than 100 games); not only for asian handicaps, but also for corners, cards, shots. 

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

 

  • Matches against similar teams (not only for asian handicap, but also for corners, cards etc.)

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

 

  • Additional filters (penalty, red cards, half time score, handicaps)

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

 

  • Many leauges (from England to Finland and a lot for more)

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

 

  • Previews

 

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

 

  • Price and planed features

One of the best football statistic site for your daily bets

 

You can test it 3 days for free here.

 

 

Easysportbet

Easysportbet

 

 

Need a betfair account? Maybe easysportbet is something for you.

 

What is easysportbet?

You don’t bet on the real betair platform, but odds and money volume are the same as on betfair. 

 

easy1

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What about commissions?

You pay 2,5% on wins and also 2,5% when you lose. Overall it will be 5%.

 

Can I use a betting software?

No, unfortunately you cannot use one. Easysportbet is interesting for people who like to gamble or like to trade but don’t need to use a software to do it. 

 

Deposit and withdraw options?

easy3

 

Who can join easysportbet?

Unfortunatley easysportbet is not open for Germany, Portugal, Spain, Italy.

 

You can join here. Within 3 minutes you are able to access all betfair markets and start winning (hopefully). 

 

Easysportbet

 

Back 0:0 & Back The Draw

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How often did you analyse a game and you thought there will be a lot of goals? So you backed high correct scores or Over 2,5, 3,5 etc.. And then it’s near full time and no goal has been scored. Why not try to back 0:0 and draw?

My balance so far: 87 games, 12x 0:0, 12x 1:1, 6x 2:2, 1x 4:4.

Total units without trading: +41,01 (0:0; after commission), +15,14 (Draw)

P/L after trading: +83,80€ with stakes mainly beetween 1,5€ and 4€.

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Livetradingfootball

 

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Livetradingfootball is a football trading site with experienced traders. Nearly every day there is a Trade of the Day, for example todays TOTD:

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There is a live chat, where every inplay trading step is told by BINGO, who is managing all TOTD. There are also livetrades from other users, which you can follow. There are sound alerts for every inplay step, so you can be sure that you don’t miss anything, you don’t have to follow the chat. 

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In the members area you can find a lot of strategies explained, when to enter, how much units you should bet etc., so you can search your own games and apply those strategies.

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Prices are as following:

 

livetrading

 

You can join here.

 

Livetradingfootball

Inplay Scanner Trading Ideas

Hi, the 2016/17 season is about to start soon in europe, so I thougt I open a site, where we can collect some trading strategies based on the inplay stats from the inplay trading tool.  Feel free to share your ideas if you like.

strategy 1)

What we look for:

  • a home favourite with odds below 2,00.

With the inplay scanner it isn’t hard to find such favourites even if you have no idea who the teams are. You can see the starting odd below the current odd, for example Boys Sports Coy are now leading 3:0 and was priced before kickoff with 2.48.

Inplayscanner1

 

  • away team is leading with one goal, e.g. 0:1 or 1:2.
  • a high pressure index, e.g. above 40/45/50.

The pressure index is a combination of shoots and ball possession. The higher the numbers the more action is in the game. You can look out for a high pressure index of the home team, which can mean that they are strongly searching for the equaliser or you can look out for a high pressure index on both sides, which can mean that the home team wants to score the equaliser but also the away team has some chances, so it is an open game, it goes up and down.

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  • when to place bets? after 75-80 minutes.
  • what to do? Lay the away team. Odds should be 1,5 or below depending how strong the home favourite was (for example with 10€). And second, make a dutch bet on 1:2, 2:1 and 0:2. (with 5€)

So we need a least one goal. The best case would be that the home team scores first. Then you can green up or take out your risk on your lay away team bet. And then you often have some minutes left for another goal which would be either 2:1 or 1:2 which we backed in the correct score market. 

Hope you like it and can make some profits. You can get the inplay scanner for 39£/month or for a 14-days trial for 20£ here. 

 

If you have a trading idea and want to share it so we can discuss it and make some suggestions to improve it write it in the comment section. I would be glad to read some strategies.

FUTURENET – The new and better Facebook? With a potential to earn a lot of money

What is Futurenet?

It is a social media platform, it looks like Facebook, it has same features as Facebook, you can meet with friends, chat with them, upload videos, pictures etc. But the different thing is, you can earn money by using it.

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How you can make to most out of it?

There are different business plans. You don’t need to buy one, you can use Futurenet absolutely free, but if you want to earn real money, then you should consider to upgrade. Why? Because when you invite friends and they upgrade then you get commissions.

You can only start with 10$. But you have to keep in mind that you only get commissions for your referals up to the level on which you are. If you are on the first level with only 10$ and one of your friends sign up with 100$, 500$ or even more, then you only get commissions for your 10$ level.

 

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Please watch this short video to get an idea how it works and what you have to do, in order to be sucessfull. It is not hard.

 

Here is the marketing plan, to see what is possible:

You can register for free and read how you can best start an earn money:

http://eraserhead.futurenet.club

Football Trading Alerts

FTA4

What is FTA?

It is an inplay trading service. It’s from the same guys, who run the Inplay Scanner. All tips are sent to your email-address. 

What stakes do they advise?

Advised trades range is from £25 to £35 per game. But Nothing stopping users halving, doubling, tripling stakes.

Do they trade out of the advised trades at any point?

That’s a personal choice but our trades can be left to run until the end of the game

I’ve joined tipping sites before and lost money, how is this different?

All we can say is for 12 months we’ve only had 1 losing month and profits have consistently ranged between £250-£400 with one month returning £1121. The strategies employed and used have been tested, tweaked and approved over the 12 months.

Here are some results of this month:

FTA

Here is an example of how it looks like:

FTA2

Subscription Plans

FTA3

 

Click the banner below to join:

FTA

Betfair Trading Community – Trade

Not a big profit, but only because I missed the entry point. I could have laid Villarreal at 1,90, but I tried to get 1,89 overnight. When I checked the game on match day, odds drifted allready to 1,96/1,97/1,98. 30 minutes before kickoff I greened, because it seemed to fall again. But at kickoff it was at around 2,06/2,08/2,10.

Villarreal_Malaga

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You can join BTC here.

Read my thougths about BTC here.

Betfair Trading Community Trade

Another good call from a member of the Betfair Trading Community on Facebook. €40 3 1/2 hours before Kickoff.

Audax

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The team names are a little bit different, but I think it was this game, because I followed the game live and the final result and the moments of the goals were the same.

You can join BTC here.

Read my thougths about BTC here.

 

Villarreal vs. Atletico Madrid – April, 29th 2015 – Inplay & Prematch Trading

Not a huge profit prematch, but a good example how to use this one website for prematch trading. As soon as the odds jumped to 3,75  at 1:43 I should have laid it at 3,75 on betfair instead of hoping to get matched at 3,70. Would have been a nice trade. The reason to consider to do this, is that there was a clear upwards trend in the last 15 minutes on Villarreal. But be careful, it is not necessarily that the odds drift further on betfair just because of that. Therefore I have chosen the safe version of a po bounce back to 3,70, which unfortunatley didn’t happen.

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Betfair Trading Community Review

BTC

Today I want to introduce you the Betfair Trading Community on Facebook. It is a community of about 400 people created by a professional betfair trader with the idea to exchange trades, betting systems, ideas and making new friends sharing the same interest.

We are all at different levels of trading. Some are more advanced, some have started their journey just now. So it’s hard to tell, if this community is something for you.

I am a member for about 1 month now. I have taken over a new staking plan and match selection for LTD (9 games, one loss so far), a few website hints to check as soon as I have more time and an entry point for a trade for the Real vs. Eibar game (Ronaldo was ready to play, nevertheless the odd drifts 2 ticks). 

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Game was not inplay yet as you can see on the -00:00:05.

There are daily threads for football, tennis and horse racing. Also other sports such as cricket, golf snooker etc. are covered.

The site claims that there are 10+ professional traders present to answer your questions. Caan Berry, you may know him as one of the most sucessfull horse race traders, is/was part of the BTC.

If you want to join this community Click Here!

Oh, nearly forgot it: price is only £3/month (first month, then £7).

Reasons why I use GEEKS TOY for trading

 

1) Estimated Queue Position

You always know your queue position. In higher liquid markets and when you place many orders this is very helpful and maybe gives you a little extra advantage compared to other traders.

GT1

2) Market Overview and Ladder Selector

When you trade horses prerace you always need to know what is going on in the market. All horses affect each other more or less. If one begins to steam another is much likely to drift and vice versa. Only the market overview gives you a good insight in the full market over the last few minutes.

GT2

3) Audio Alert Manager

Every trading software has a countdown audio alert, a suspended audio alert and an inplay audio alert. But Geeks Toy has in addition to this “When a bet is first matched”, “When a bet is subsequently matched” and “When a bet is fully matched”.

If you are trading and fully focusing on one ladder and also have placed orders on another you sometimes maybe don’t recognize that they got matched. With these extra alerts you always know.

GT3

4) Market Close Warning

Never forget a unmatched bet again when closing a market that you placed in order to trade but which didn’t get matched at first time, just to recognize that it get matched though later , but you couldn’t close the trade proberly and you lost huge.

Maybe you know this: You look at your account balance and get shocked, because a huge amount is missing and you don’t know where it is. If you didn’t loose it by gambling, you probably forget to cancel an order. Sometimes you will find it and it is still unmachted, sometimes it has been matched and a goal has been scored to your favour or nothing happend, but in the worst case the other side scored or the game has even endend and you lost all of your trading stakes, which you never wanted to fully risk.

GT4

 5) Last Matched Amount

GT6

6) Betfair Live Video Of Horse Races

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You can get GEEKS TOY here.

Betfair Trading Software

Inplay Scanner Example

Here is an example how you could use the scanner. Curzon Ashton was a 1,46 favourite and 1:2 back. But they had 11 shoots on target, 10 shoots off target and 13 corner kicks. I laid Belper Town at 1,5 and 1,25 and backed Curzon at 11.

Scanner3

In the 90. minute Curzon scores the 2:2, which was also the full time result.

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Scanner5

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With a good money management, discipline and a strategy, the inplay scanner is a great tool for your daily inplay trades.

You can get the inplay scanner here.

 

 

IPT

Prematch Trading

Recently I’ve started with some prematch trades. The profits are still small to average. But the lossing trades are very rarely. I will post some of my trades and hopefully I can make some progress in the near future.

What do you need / What do I use?

  • a betfair account. (If you don’t have access to betfair due to restrictions in your country, you can sign up via a broker, e.g. premium tradings)
  • a trading software. I use Geeks Toy for my prematch trades.
  • a cool internet site, which helps me a lot to know in which direction the market is most likely to move.

 

 

Premium Tradings

What is Premium Tradings ?

GPremium Tradings betting brokerageenerally speaking Premium Tradings is a sports betting broker, designed to serve a growing market share of selected professional clients, whether individuals or betting syndicates, with unique and suitable sports betting solutions for each.

If you are looking for a place where your accounts will not be limited or closed and you can monitor them altogether, Premium Tradings is fulfilling all your needs.

Premium Tradings customers enjoy the ability to handle betting accounts with all the best asian sportsbooks like Pinnacle, SBOBet, Singbet, IBC and more as well as BETFAIR Betting exchange – all in one service. You can spread your balance between all betting accounts, transfer funds from one account to another, without limits or restrictions.

Deposits and withdrawals

Deposits and withdrawals are made via Skrill, Netteller (Euro, USD, GBP), Bitcoin and Bank wires.

The service is free of charge, besides transaction fees, as following: Deposits:

  • First ever deposit is free of charge.
  • Any further deposits: up to €2,000 3%; €2,001 up to €10,000 2%; €10,001 and up 1%

Withdrawals:

  • You get one free withdrawal per calendar month.
  • Any additional withdrawals are charged with 1 % over the transaction amount.

Please note: the minimum deposit amount is 1000 € (only the first deposit), no matter if you want to open just one or several accounts with Premium Tradings.

How does it work?

  1. Go to Premium Tradings, select REGISTER NOW and fill in the registration form:

  1. Once your registration is completed you will be contacted by Premium Tradings via email containing the terms and conditions and the agreement between Premium Tradings and you. Please note, it may take several hours before you receive this mail. The agreement has to be signed by you and returned to Premium Tradings via email.

  1. After that you will receive another email from Premium Tradings informing you where to send your first deposit amount, depending on the deposit method you choose upon registration.

  1. As soon as Premium Trading has received your deposit amount, you will receive your account and login details for the service you choose.

Betfair Accounts

If you have signed up for an account with BETFAIR betting exchange, a VPN service is required. This is due to the fact that access to the betting exchange is restricted to certain countries. I would recommend to use the VPN service HydeMyAss or CyberGhost. You can sign up here or here:

  • Can I use a betting software for my betfair account?

You can use any betting software for your betfair account with Premium Tradings, as API is fully functionable.

  • Commision Rate

The betfair commission rate with Premium Tradings is 4% and hence lower than in any other country!

  • Premium Charge

Premium Trading customers don’t pay the betfair premium charge! (I don’t know if this is still valid)

  • Why use Premium Tradings?

Because you live in a country, where betfair has closed their betting exchange and you don’t want to miss all the advantages of the leading betting exchange.

Because you are a high roller and need an account at the asian bookies.

Because you want to pay less commission.

Because you don’t want to pay premium charges any more.

  • Does it really work?

Yes, of course. I don’t have an account. But a friend has one for a few months and he didn’t face any problems so far.

  • Is Premium Tradings serious?

Yes. PremiumTradings is sports brokerage service owned by BELLONA N.V group, with valid Gaming license no. 8048/JAZ issued by the gaming commission of Curacao.

Should you encounter any problems, contact Premium Tradings either via email or just go to the live chat on their website or contact me via bettinginnovations@gmx.at and I try to do me best to help you out.

 

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